It's time for my predictions for the French Open. These will almost surely be wrong, but I can try!
Semifinalists:
First Quarter: John Isner. This is one of those "out there" picks, I get it. But, if the way I see the drawing unfolding comes true, then Isner will come out of this section. I see Murray beating del Potro but, given his poor form and the physical tax that will come from that match Juan Martin, I think he loses to Isner in the Round of 16. I have Cuevas beating Zverev in the Third Round before losing to Querrey in the Fourth Round. I have Querrey upsetting Nishikori, who seems to be low on confidence right now. I think have Isner beating Querrey to reach the Semifinals! Yes, this pick is not expected, but I do believe we will be seeing a lot of Isner over the next two weeks.
Second Quarter: Stanislas Wawrinka. I think Wawrinka will be confident after winning Geneva. He also got a very good draw. Fognini, if he is focused, could trouble him in the Third Round, but I think he should beat him in four sets. I don't foresee the winner of Gasquet and Monfils beating a confident Wawrinka in the Round of 16. The winner of Tsonga-Cilic could provide Stan with some problems in the Quarterfinals, and I think Stan will meet Tsonga in quarters, but I think back to when Tsonga was only able to get a set against Stan back in 2015 when both were playing so well in the Roland Garros Semifinals, and I just can't see Tsonga winning that match. Wawrinka dominates the head to head with Cilic, going 11-2 and 4-0 on clay, so I see Cilic beating Wawrinka here either.
Third Quarter: Rafael Nadal. Nadal has had an amazing clay court season so far, only losing one match and winning in Monte Carlo, Barcelona, and Madrid. There's just really no one in his section that will be able to trouble him much. Maybe Simon in the Third Round if Nadal has a bunch of errors, and perhaps Sock if Nadal let's Jack's forehand dictate too much, but I just don't see many problems for Rafa, given his draw. I think he will play Pable Carreno Busta in the Quarterfinals, and I don't think Rafa will have any problems beating him. Nadal is just much better than everyone else in his quarter of the draw.
Fourth Quarter: Novak Djokovic. This is a very tricky quarter for Djokovic. There are tons of players in the this quarter that can give him issues. I think his first tricky match will be in the Third Round against Diego Schwartzman. Schwartzman is very good on clay and is not someone you want to see in your at Roland Garros. Luckily for Djokovic, Goffin and Thiem, who have both had very successful clay court seasons, are projected to match up against one another in the Round of 16. Novak will most likely see the winner of that match if he makes the quarters, and I think he will see Goffin. David is a matchup problem for Dominic, despite Thiem's win against Goffin last year in the quarters. In the Round of 16, Djokovic could see Ramos Vinolas or Pouille, both of whom have had a lot of clay court success. Also watch out for Djokovic's Second Round against Janko Tipseravic, who if healthy, could be dangerous. Tipseravic has dominated clay court Challengers this season.
Semifinals: Isner vs. Wawrinka, Nadal vs. Djokovic
Final: Wawrinka vs. Nadal
Champion: Stanislas Wawrinka
Saturday, May 27, 2017
Women's French Open Predictions
With the French Open set to begin tomorrow, I make my prediction. They will almost surely prove to be incorrect, but I can try!
Women's Semifinalists:
Top Quarter: Samantha Stosur. For a long time, I thought Kuznetsova was coming up out of this section, but the more I think about it, the more I get the gut feeling she will lose. She did have a nice run in Madrid, but the conditions are very different in Rome than in Madrid, and she had an early loss to Gavrilova in Rome, and lost early in Stuttgart too to Siegemund. Stosur got a really nice draw, having two straight-forward matches to start the tournament and drawing a rusty Kvitova as her possible third round seeded opponent, and it's not as if Kvitova loved clay in the first place. Kuznetsova's eighth of the draw also features Wozniacki and recent Nuremberg champion Kiki Bertens, so only one of those players will make it out of that 8th of the draw. In addition, Kerber is playing very pooly, I have her losing to Makarova in the First Round. Stosur played great tennis in Strasbourg, only losing one set all week and beating a few very good players, and I have her in the semis.
Second Quarter: Dominka Cibulkova. I have no clue who will come out of this quarter of the draw. Tons of players have a real shot, including Cibulkova, Venus Williams, Timea Bacsinszky, Daria Gavrilova, Kiki Mladenovic, Annett Kontaveit and defending champion Garbine Muguruza (who plays a former champion in Francesca Schiavone in the First Round, by the way). Former Finalist Sara Errani is also in this quarter, but I'm not sure if she can beat Mladenovic in the Second Round. I have a suspicion that Kontaveit is going to upset Muguruza in the Second Round, as Annett has had a great season. Gavrilova had a tiring week in Strasbourg, and I don't know if Venus still has the fitness to win many clay court matches in a row, especially what should be a war in the Third Round against Gavrilova, so I think the winner of that matches loses to Cibulkova in the Round of 16. Cibulkova has a very straightforward draw to start the tournament, and I just don't think Mladenovic is quite ready for a major semi yet, especially playing someone of Cibulkova's caliber and fighting spirit, in the Quarterfinals so Dominika is my pick to come out of this quarter.
Third Quarter: Carla Suarez Navarro. Another quarter where anything can happen. Halep's injury still worries me, and after what should be a battle against Vondrousova (who I have upsetting Kasatkina in the Second Round) in the Third Round, I don't know how much fight Halep will have left for a potential Round of 16 match against Suarez Navarro. Despite her recent titles, I am not sure Svitolina is a player who can win a grand slam, as her game is often too passive. Madison Keys is a big name in this section of the draw, but she starts with a brutal First Round against Ashleigh Barty. Bouchard could make a run, but her pulling out of Nuremberg makes me hesitant to predict her to go too far in the draw. I think Suarez Navarro takes this quarter of the draw.
Fourth Quarter: Caroline Garcia. Again, I have no idea what will happen here. The three top ten seeds in this quarter are Plsikova, Konta, and Radwanska, and neither of those three play particularly well on the clay. That leaves me with two realistic semifinalists: Caroline Garcia playing in front of her home fans, or Anastasia Pavyluchenkova, who has had a really great clay court season. I expect the quarterfinal match between those two players to be tight, but I think Garcia sneaks out a really tight match. However, I could easily see Pavyluchenkova coming out of this section, that was a really hard match to predict. Other players I could see making a run are Alize Cornet and Coco Vandeweghe, but I just can't see either of them in the Semifinals.
Semifinals: Stosur vs. Cibulkova, Suarez Navarro vs. Garcia
Final: Stosur vs. Suarez Navarro
Champion: Samantha Stosur
Women's Semifinalists:
Top Quarter: Samantha Stosur. For a long time, I thought Kuznetsova was coming up out of this section, but the more I think about it, the more I get the gut feeling she will lose. She did have a nice run in Madrid, but the conditions are very different in Rome than in Madrid, and she had an early loss to Gavrilova in Rome, and lost early in Stuttgart too to Siegemund. Stosur got a really nice draw, having two straight-forward matches to start the tournament and drawing a rusty Kvitova as her possible third round seeded opponent, and it's not as if Kvitova loved clay in the first place. Kuznetsova's eighth of the draw also features Wozniacki and recent Nuremberg champion Kiki Bertens, so only one of those players will make it out of that 8th of the draw. In addition, Kerber is playing very pooly, I have her losing to Makarova in the First Round. Stosur played great tennis in Strasbourg, only losing one set all week and beating a few very good players, and I have her in the semis.
Second Quarter: Dominka Cibulkova. I have no clue who will come out of this quarter of the draw. Tons of players have a real shot, including Cibulkova, Venus Williams, Timea Bacsinszky, Daria Gavrilova, Kiki Mladenovic, Annett Kontaveit and defending champion Garbine Muguruza (who plays a former champion in Francesca Schiavone in the First Round, by the way). Former Finalist Sara Errani is also in this quarter, but I'm not sure if she can beat Mladenovic in the Second Round. I have a suspicion that Kontaveit is going to upset Muguruza in the Second Round, as Annett has had a great season. Gavrilova had a tiring week in Strasbourg, and I don't know if Venus still has the fitness to win many clay court matches in a row, especially what should be a war in the Third Round against Gavrilova, so I think the winner of that matches loses to Cibulkova in the Round of 16. Cibulkova has a very straightforward draw to start the tournament, and I just don't think Mladenovic is quite ready for a major semi yet, especially playing someone of Cibulkova's caliber and fighting spirit, in the Quarterfinals so Dominika is my pick to come out of this quarter.
Third Quarter: Carla Suarez Navarro. Another quarter where anything can happen. Halep's injury still worries me, and after what should be a battle against Vondrousova (who I have upsetting Kasatkina in the Second Round) in the Third Round, I don't know how much fight Halep will have left for a potential Round of 16 match against Suarez Navarro. Despite her recent titles, I am not sure Svitolina is a player who can win a grand slam, as her game is often too passive. Madison Keys is a big name in this section of the draw, but she starts with a brutal First Round against Ashleigh Barty. Bouchard could make a run, but her pulling out of Nuremberg makes me hesitant to predict her to go too far in the draw. I think Suarez Navarro takes this quarter of the draw.
Fourth Quarter: Caroline Garcia. Again, I have no idea what will happen here. The three top ten seeds in this quarter are Plsikova, Konta, and Radwanska, and neither of those three play particularly well on the clay. That leaves me with two realistic semifinalists: Caroline Garcia playing in front of her home fans, or Anastasia Pavyluchenkova, who has had a really great clay court season. I expect the quarterfinal match between those two players to be tight, but I think Garcia sneaks out a really tight match. However, I could easily see Pavyluchenkova coming out of this section, that was a really hard match to predict. Other players I could see making a run are Alize Cornet and Coco Vandeweghe, but I just can't see either of them in the Semifinals.
Semifinals: Stosur vs. Cibulkova, Suarez Navarro vs. Garcia
Final: Stosur vs. Suarez Navarro
Champion: Samantha Stosur
Friday, May 26, 2017
Sara Errani is Ready for Main Draw of French Open
It almost seemed surreal to see Sara Errani in the French Open qualifying draw. Just five years, she was one match from winning the French Open before Maria Sharapova beat her 6-3, 6-2. She had beaten French Open champion Ana Ivanovic in the Third Round, two-time grand slam champion Svetlana Kuznetsova in the Round of 16, future two-time grand slam champion Angelique Kerber in the Quarterfinals, and US Open champion Sam Stosur in the Semifinals. That was a very impressive run. In addition, Sara has won three Australian Opens, a French Open, and Wimbledon with former doubles partner Roberta Vinci.
At Roland Garros, Errani backed up this success with a Semifinals showing in the 2013 French Open, and then reaching the Quarterfinals at the 2014 and 2015 French Open. These is some serious success at one major, and after reaching the Quarterfinals as recently as two years, it is definitely a shock to see Errani in the qualifying draw this year.
Errani's slide down the rankings came soon after the biggest title of her career, winning a Premier event in Dubai. After her title in Dubai, she lost four of her next six matches, made the semis of Charleston, and then proceeded to lose every match for the rest of the clay court season up to the French Open, including a shocking First Round loss to Tsetvana Pironkova at Roland Garros.
The grass court season was not successful for Errani, going 1-2, and she had middling results for the rest of the season, which included First Round losses in four of her final five tournaments of 2016, including at the US Open. 2017 has not been great to Sara either, as she lost in her first match of the season at Brisbane, had to withdraw from the Second Round of the Australian Open before her match against Ekaterina Makarova, and proceeded to lose in the Second Round of her next three tournaments, even on the clay of Charleston. Not great results from Errani, and given her horrendous form to end 2016, it seemed as if she would be playing in qualifying of the French Open.
Errani showed glimpses through some of the clay court season that she could eventually gain back her form. She made the Quarterfinals of Bogota, and later in the clay court season, made the Semifinals of Rabat. But, there were also moments this clay court season where you wondered if Errani would never be close to the player she was in the past. Errani lost in the Second Round of Istanbul to Elise Mertens, the First Round of qualifying in Madrid to Pauline Parmentier, and the First Round of Rome to Alize Cornet (which she got a wildcard in order to get into the main draw without playing qualifying).
So, when the qualifying draw came out, while it seemed like Errani would be able to get through the draw without much trouble, you could never be certain given her erratic form. However, Sara's form in qualifying has been spectacular. In her First Round match in the qualifying draw, Errani played a French wildcard, Sara Cakarevic. And Errani played up to her abilities and competed like the former Roland Garros Finalist that she is, destroying Cakarevic 6-1, 6-0. It was very clear at that point that Errani would be on her game and would be nearly impossible to beat in qualifying.
Sara continued her good form in the Second Round of qualifying when she played Veronika Kudermetova. Errani destroyed Kudermetova, as well, winning 6-1, 6-2. This means that, after her first two qualifying matches, Errani only lost four games. Then, in the Final Qualifying Round, Sara beat Nicole Gibbs 6-3, 6-0. This gave Errani to 6-0 sets in qualifying to along with two 6-1 sets. No opponent got more than three games in a set, or in a match, against Errani during French Open qualifying.
I really think that winning so easily during French Open qualifying will be a turning point in the year for Errani. Watching Errani play for much of last year and this year so far, much of the problem with Errani's game is that she has lost a tremendous amount of confidence. She isn't hitting her groundstrokes with the authority that she once did, and this affects both the depth on her groundstrokes, and has also damaged her fighting spirit. The Errani that I saw, for instance, lose to Christina McHale in Brisbane and Johanna Larsson in Bogota was not the Errani that I had watched a couple years ago. She had lost both her fighting spirit and the depth on her groundstrokes, and I have a feeling it has been largely a confidence issue for Sara.
I truly believe that not just winning in qualifying, but dominating in every match she played, will give Errani a lot of confidence. Just a few weeks ago, Sara was the one losing 6-0 in a set, in the semis of Rabat, which could have caused her to lose some of the confidence she had gained over the course of the week. But to come to a place where she has won the doubles title and made the singles Final, and to play so well over the course of three matches, it signals good things in Errani's future in Paris.
So, now Sara moves onto the main draw. She will open up against Misaki Doi, who was having a good week in Nuremberg, before retiring in the Semifinals against Kiki Bertens. Overall, that is a pretty good draw for Errani, and I expect her to come through that match and set up a tough Second Round match against, most likely, Kristina Mladenovic, who has had a great year so far.
But, no matter the results in the main draw of the French Open, I can't help but to think that Errani is on the right track in turning her year around. I believe Sara will gain a lot of confidence from the qualifying event in Paris, and this will be crucial to her success for the rest of the season, and even in a broader sense, for the rest of her career. Based on her results in qualifying, Sara Errani is ready for the main draw of the French Open.
At Roland Garros, Errani backed up this success with a Semifinals showing in the 2013 French Open, and then reaching the Quarterfinals at the 2014 and 2015 French Open. These is some serious success at one major, and after reaching the Quarterfinals as recently as two years, it is definitely a shock to see Errani in the qualifying draw this year.
Errani's slide down the rankings came soon after the biggest title of her career, winning a Premier event in Dubai. After her title in Dubai, she lost four of her next six matches, made the semis of Charleston, and then proceeded to lose every match for the rest of the clay court season up to the French Open, including a shocking First Round loss to Tsetvana Pironkova at Roland Garros.
The grass court season was not successful for Errani, going 1-2, and she had middling results for the rest of the season, which included First Round losses in four of her final five tournaments of 2016, including at the US Open. 2017 has not been great to Sara either, as she lost in her first match of the season at Brisbane, had to withdraw from the Second Round of the Australian Open before her match against Ekaterina Makarova, and proceeded to lose in the Second Round of her next three tournaments, even on the clay of Charleston. Not great results from Errani, and given her horrendous form to end 2016, it seemed as if she would be playing in qualifying of the French Open.
Errani showed glimpses through some of the clay court season that she could eventually gain back her form. She made the Quarterfinals of Bogota, and later in the clay court season, made the Semifinals of Rabat. But, there were also moments this clay court season where you wondered if Errani would never be close to the player she was in the past. Errani lost in the Second Round of Istanbul to Elise Mertens, the First Round of qualifying in Madrid to Pauline Parmentier, and the First Round of Rome to Alize Cornet (which she got a wildcard in order to get into the main draw without playing qualifying).
So, when the qualifying draw came out, while it seemed like Errani would be able to get through the draw without much trouble, you could never be certain given her erratic form. However, Sara's form in qualifying has been spectacular. In her First Round match in the qualifying draw, Errani played a French wildcard, Sara Cakarevic. And Errani played up to her abilities and competed like the former Roland Garros Finalist that she is, destroying Cakarevic 6-1, 6-0. It was very clear at that point that Errani would be on her game and would be nearly impossible to beat in qualifying.
Sara continued her good form in the Second Round of qualifying when she played Veronika Kudermetova. Errani destroyed Kudermetova, as well, winning 6-1, 6-2. This means that, after her first two qualifying matches, Errani only lost four games. Then, in the Final Qualifying Round, Sara beat Nicole Gibbs 6-3, 6-0. This gave Errani to 6-0 sets in qualifying to along with two 6-1 sets. No opponent got more than three games in a set, or in a match, against Errani during French Open qualifying.
I really think that winning so easily during French Open qualifying will be a turning point in the year for Errani. Watching Errani play for much of last year and this year so far, much of the problem with Errani's game is that she has lost a tremendous amount of confidence. She isn't hitting her groundstrokes with the authority that she once did, and this affects both the depth on her groundstrokes, and has also damaged her fighting spirit. The Errani that I saw, for instance, lose to Christina McHale in Brisbane and Johanna Larsson in Bogota was not the Errani that I had watched a couple years ago. She had lost both her fighting spirit and the depth on her groundstrokes, and I have a feeling it has been largely a confidence issue for Sara.
I truly believe that not just winning in qualifying, but dominating in every match she played, will give Errani a lot of confidence. Just a few weeks ago, Sara was the one losing 6-0 in a set, in the semis of Rabat, which could have caused her to lose some of the confidence she had gained over the course of the week. But to come to a place where she has won the doubles title and made the singles Final, and to play so well over the course of three matches, it signals good things in Errani's future in Paris.
So, now Sara moves onto the main draw. She will open up against Misaki Doi, who was having a good week in Nuremberg, before retiring in the Semifinals against Kiki Bertens. Overall, that is a pretty good draw for Errani, and I expect her to come through that match and set up a tough Second Round match against, most likely, Kristina Mladenovic, who has had a great year so far.
But, no matter the results in the main draw of the French Open, I can't help but to think that Errani is on the right track in turning her year around. I believe Sara will gain a lot of confidence from the qualifying event in Paris, and this will be crucial to her success for the rest of the season, and even in a broader sense, for the rest of her career. Based on her results in qualifying, Sara Errani is ready for the main draw of the French Open.
Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Coco Vandeweghe Proves She Can Play on the Clay
For a while, it seemed as if Coco Vandeweghe was a lost cause on clay. After all, she had barely registered any wins on the surface and was excelling on the hard and grass courts, making the clay an afterthought. However, this clay season we have seen a different Vandeweghe on the dirt. Suddenly, Vandeweghe looks like a real factor in the clay court season and, perhaps, even a threat for the title at the French Open.
Before 2014, Coco Vandeweghe had not even won a WTA Tour-level match on clay in her entire life. The clay courts seemed like they wouldn't fit her powerful, first-strike tennis game, however, and the results backed up this notion. Even in 2014, she only had one win on clay, beating Iveta Melzer in the First Round before being convincingly beaten by Ekaterina Makarova in the Second Round. This was the same year that Coco won her first title, on a grass court in s'Hertogenbosch, so the difference between surfaces for Vandeweghe was very pronounced at this point.
In 2015, Vandeweghe only won two clay court matches, compiling a 2-5 record on the dirt, including Fed Cup. In Paris that year, Vandeweghe lost in the First Round to Julia Goerges. Again, the differences between her game on grass and clay were pronounced. At Wimbledon in 2015, she made the Quarterfinals, coming within one set of the semis before losing to Maria Sharapova. It seemed as if Vandeweghe would never show great results on clay, and this was seemingly confirmed by another lackluster clay court season in 2016 (including Fed Cup), where Coco went 1-4, her only victory coming in a three-setter at Roland Garros. Last year, Vandeweghe won s'Hertogenbosch again, which once again proved that she was playing good tennis, just not on clay.
Perhaps it was the 2017 Australian Open that gave Vandeweghe more confidence, which has been able to convert to the clay courts. During this year's Australian Open, Vandeweghe played spectacular tennis. Coco only dropped one set and came within one set of the Final before losing to Venus Williams in three sets in the Semifinals. Vandeweghe was "in the zone" for much of the tournament, and this was highlighted by a stomping of defending French Open champion Garbine Muguruza in the Quarterfinals. Vandeweghe seemingly couldn't miss and played precision power tennis, taking the racquet out of Muguruza's hands. She won the match 6-4, 6-0 and displayed, with the exception of Serena in Australia, the highest quality of tennis in that match that I have seen all season.
This match surely must have given Vandeweghe the confidence, if she didn't already have it, that she could play with the elites in the game and be a force on the WTA Tour. Not everyone in the tennis world likes her unfiltered attitude, but I find it refreshing to see a player not feel the need to act like a public relations employee at every moment. This is not a knock on people who are very careful in what they say, but there is something refreshing about Coco's attitude.
Coco went on a slump following her run in Australia, and it seemed like she might have to wait until the grass court season to regain her form. After a couple wins in Fed Cup, she lost in the First Round of Dubai, Indian Wells, and Miami, which included shocking losses to Alison Riske and Jana Cepelova. However, on the green clay of the Fed Cup, with American support, Coco finally found her game again. Vandeweghe beat Vondrousova and Siniakova in straight sets, never losing more than four games in the process. She followed this up with a win against Kontaveit in Stuttgart, before falling in a hotly-contested match against Pliskova.
Vandeweghe then moved on to Madrid, where she has blossomed. After beating Kontaveit again in the First Round, Coco followed that up by beating recent Stuttgart champion Laura Siegemund in a three-setter, a surprising win for Coco given her lack of good results on the surface and Siegemund's great clay court play. Today, Coco then followed up that win with a huge result against Carla Suarez Navarro. Not only was Suarez Navarro playing in her home country, but her best surface is by far clay.
It would have been easy for Vandeweghe to fold, especially after she lost a tight first set 7-4. However, Coco wouldn't go away. Vandeweghe won the second set 6-4, and despite going down 3-0 in the third set, clawed her way to a three set victory, 7-5 in the third. This was a huge victory for Coco, and was confirmation that she could definitely play on the dirt. Yes, Madrid is at a high altitude, and thus, it helps power players, as the ball flies through the air. But, beating players so great on clay courts, such as Siegemund and Suarez Navarro says a lot more than about the altitude alone.
Since Frencesca Schiavone in 2010, the French Open has had a player that one couldn't refer to as a traditional "clay courter" win the title. In 2011, Li Na won the title, while Sharapova took the title in 2012 and 2014. In 2013 and 2015, Serena Williams won at Roland Garros, while in 2016, Garbine Muguruza lifted the winner's trophy. In my opinion, there is nothing stopping Vandeweghe from winning the title in this wide open women's field, given Serena's pregnancy. Power players can still win on clay, and if Vandeweghe plays up to her capabilities, she can beat anyone in the field, no matter the surface.
No matter the result of her match against Simona Halep in the Madrid Quarterfinals, Coco Vandeweghe has proven that she can play on clay. And, quite frankly, that should scare the rest of the WTA.
Before 2014, Coco Vandeweghe had not even won a WTA Tour-level match on clay in her entire life. The clay courts seemed like they wouldn't fit her powerful, first-strike tennis game, however, and the results backed up this notion. Even in 2014, she only had one win on clay, beating Iveta Melzer in the First Round before being convincingly beaten by Ekaterina Makarova in the Second Round. This was the same year that Coco won her first title, on a grass court in s'Hertogenbosch, so the difference between surfaces for Vandeweghe was very pronounced at this point.
In 2015, Vandeweghe only won two clay court matches, compiling a 2-5 record on the dirt, including Fed Cup. In Paris that year, Vandeweghe lost in the First Round to Julia Goerges. Again, the differences between her game on grass and clay were pronounced. At Wimbledon in 2015, she made the Quarterfinals, coming within one set of the semis before losing to Maria Sharapova. It seemed as if Vandeweghe would never show great results on clay, and this was seemingly confirmed by another lackluster clay court season in 2016 (including Fed Cup), where Coco went 1-4, her only victory coming in a three-setter at Roland Garros. Last year, Vandeweghe won s'Hertogenbosch again, which once again proved that she was playing good tennis, just not on clay.
Perhaps it was the 2017 Australian Open that gave Vandeweghe more confidence, which has been able to convert to the clay courts. During this year's Australian Open, Vandeweghe played spectacular tennis. Coco only dropped one set and came within one set of the Final before losing to Venus Williams in three sets in the Semifinals. Vandeweghe was "in the zone" for much of the tournament, and this was highlighted by a stomping of defending French Open champion Garbine Muguruza in the Quarterfinals. Vandeweghe seemingly couldn't miss and played precision power tennis, taking the racquet out of Muguruza's hands. She won the match 6-4, 6-0 and displayed, with the exception of Serena in Australia, the highest quality of tennis in that match that I have seen all season.
This match surely must have given Vandeweghe the confidence, if she didn't already have it, that she could play with the elites in the game and be a force on the WTA Tour. Not everyone in the tennis world likes her unfiltered attitude, but I find it refreshing to see a player not feel the need to act like a public relations employee at every moment. This is not a knock on people who are very careful in what they say, but there is something refreshing about Coco's attitude.
Coco went on a slump following her run in Australia, and it seemed like she might have to wait until the grass court season to regain her form. After a couple wins in Fed Cup, she lost in the First Round of Dubai, Indian Wells, and Miami, which included shocking losses to Alison Riske and Jana Cepelova. However, on the green clay of the Fed Cup, with American support, Coco finally found her game again. Vandeweghe beat Vondrousova and Siniakova in straight sets, never losing more than four games in the process. She followed this up with a win against Kontaveit in Stuttgart, before falling in a hotly-contested match against Pliskova.
Vandeweghe then moved on to Madrid, where she has blossomed. After beating Kontaveit again in the First Round, Coco followed that up by beating recent Stuttgart champion Laura Siegemund in a three-setter, a surprising win for Coco given her lack of good results on the surface and Siegemund's great clay court play. Today, Coco then followed up that win with a huge result against Carla Suarez Navarro. Not only was Suarez Navarro playing in her home country, but her best surface is by far clay.
It would have been easy for Vandeweghe to fold, especially after she lost a tight first set 7-4. However, Coco wouldn't go away. Vandeweghe won the second set 6-4, and despite going down 3-0 in the third set, clawed her way to a three set victory, 7-5 in the third. This was a huge victory for Coco, and was confirmation that she could definitely play on the dirt. Yes, Madrid is at a high altitude, and thus, it helps power players, as the ball flies through the air. But, beating players so great on clay courts, such as Siegemund and Suarez Navarro says a lot more than about the altitude alone.
Since Frencesca Schiavone in 2010, the French Open has had a player that one couldn't refer to as a traditional "clay courter" win the title. In 2011, Li Na won the title, while Sharapova took the title in 2012 and 2014. In 2013 and 2015, Serena Williams won at Roland Garros, while in 2016, Garbine Muguruza lifted the winner's trophy. In my opinion, there is nothing stopping Vandeweghe from winning the title in this wide open women's field, given Serena's pregnancy. Power players can still win on clay, and if Vandeweghe plays up to her capabilities, she can beat anyone in the field, no matter the surface.
No matter the result of her match against Simona Halep in the Madrid Quarterfinals, Coco Vandeweghe has proven that she can play on clay. And, quite frankly, that should scare the rest of the WTA.
Monday, May 8, 2017
Eugenie Bouchard Silences Her Demons in Madrid
When Eugenie Bouchard finally beat Maria Sharapova 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 in Madrid, it was obvious that much of the tennis world was in shock. Maria Sharapova was clearly the odds-on favorite, Intertops having her at -714, and with a clear head-to-head advantage. In their four prior matches, Sharapova won all four, with Bouchard only managing to get one set in the process.
In their previous match at the 2015 Australian Open, Sharapova had beaten Bouchard in straight sets, only losing five games in the entire match. With Bouchard struggling, many felt like this would be an easy match for Maria, a warmup before her battle with world number two Angelique Kerber in the next round. However, that was far from the case.
This match meant much more than what a random Second Round match would typically mean. For Sharapova, winning this match would mean that she would be a step closer to the main draw of Wimbledon, which would be crucial for her return to tennis following her meldonium use that forced her to spend 15 months on the sidelines. Getting in the main draw of a Grand Slam, in addition to the massive amounts of prize money, would make it much easier for Sharapova to catapult up the WTA rankings, where the number one spot is up for grab's due Serena Williams' pregnancy. However, with this loss, Sharapova will now look to Rome as an opportunity to move up the ranks of the WTA.
For Eugenie Bouchard, this match looked to be a crossroads for her career. Following a run to the Fourth Round of the Australian Open, coming within one set of the Quarterfinals before falling to CoCo Vandeweghe, Eugenie had massive struggles with her game. She lost in the First Round of Acapulco, Indian Wells, Miami, and Monterrey, before going to an ITF tournament in Indian Harbor Beach and only getting three games in a meek defeat to world number 484, Victoria Duval. And when Bouchard lost in the First Round of Istanbul too, it seemed more and more likely that her Wimbledon Final was nothing more than a massive fluke.
This match was complicated by Bouchard's chatter regarding Sharapova's drug use. Bouchard called Sharapova "a cheater" and also wanted her banned from tennis for life. This surely made proceedings personal between Eugenie and Maria, despite Maria saying that she was "way above that". This was condescending, in a way. Sharapova was essentially calling Bouchard immature, and definitely had a "holier than thou" attitude mixed into it. I'm sure that Bouchard's initial comments really irked Sharapova, and I'm also sure that Maria's condescending reply annoyed Eugenie as well.
This context provided the reasoning behind the electric intensity of the match. I watched much of the match, and one of the things that stuck out to me at the beginning was the ability of Bouchard to keep the point alive. While against some other players, Sharapova might have drawn more forced errors, Bouchard frequently refused to let the point die. Bouchard had a determined attitude, something that had been missing from her game until this match. This determined attitude started in her first match in the tournament against Cornet where, despite losing the second set, Bouchard won the third set in dominating fashion, 6-1.
When Sharapova broke first in the match to lead *4-2 in the first set, it would be easy for her to go away, knowing that the head-to-head (to this point) was a disaster, and that her year wasn't much better. However, Eugenie refused to go away. In a long seventh game of the match, Bouchard broke back and held from 0-30 down. Even after getting broken serving for the set at *5-4, Bouchard just wouldn't back down. At 5-5, despite not breaking on her first three chances in the game, Eugenie Bouchard broke through, winning Sharapova's service game and holding in the next game, despite facing a break point at 30-40.
In the second set, Sharapova imposed her will. Maria had to save a break point at 1-1 in the set, but didn't struggle much from there, taking the second set 6-2 to tie the match at one set all. This would have been the perfect time for Bouchard to look at her season, her past defeats to Sharapova, and perhaps, throw in the towel. After all, when Maria took the second set in Paris in the Semifinals of the French Open in 2014, she had little problems in the third set, taking it 6-2. Eugenie could have thought of that match, thought of history repeating itself in part, and put in a weak third set effort. But, in a stunning set, Bouchard rose above her competition.
The third set was a tussle of wills, a battle of who would outlast the other. Bouchard saved a break point at *0-1 to hold for 1-1, and then had 0-40 on the Sharapova serve, a crucial break nearly inevitable. However, utilizing huge serving and crushing play from the baseline, Maria held and then got up 0-40 on Bouchard's serve, one point away from a moment that would almost certainly crush her spirit. However, a combination of good serving from Bouchard and bad returning from Sharapova allowed her to escape the 0-40 hold, and eventually the game.
Eugenie then got to 0-40 on Sharapova's service game once again, but Maria's fighting spirit pushed her through to yet another hold. Once again, this was a crossroads for Bouchard. Having 0-40 in two games in a row, a combined eight break points lost in two Sharapova service games, it would be easy for Eugenie to have a let down, but she wouldn't quit. Despite going 15-30 down at 3-3 in the third set, Bouchard held on and then finally broke Maria when she got up 0-40 in yet another Sharapova service game to go up *4-3 in the third set, two holds from a huge victory.
But, Sharapova wouldn't go away, utilizing impressive power tennis, Sharapova pounded away at the Bouchard serve, never allowing Eugenie to get comfortable in the game, and breaking back for 4-all. It seemed to me, at this point, that Bouchard's will would finally be broken. She had done seemingly everything in her power to beat Maria, but it looked as if Sharapova had answered every one of Bouchard's questions. And when Sharapova went up 40-15 in her ensuing service game, it seemed as if a 6-4 third set to Maria was on it's way.
But, Bouchard had other plans. Eugenie ended up breaking Maria from 40-15 down, then saving two break points when serving for the match to win 7-5, 2-6, 6-4. This was, given the circumstances and Bouchard's year so far, definitely the biggest win of her year, and up there with the biggest wins of her career. To have such poor results before this match, to have so many headlines swirling around, to play such high-quality tennis was astounding.
Bouchard's defensive play was superb, and she was hitting her forehand the way I remembered her forehand looking in 2014, her breakout year on the WTA Tour. If Bouchard can continue to play, and compete, in a similar fashion to tonight, then there is no reason why she cannot make a deep run in both this tournament, and eventually, at Roland Garros. Sharapova has also shown that she will be a force on clay this year, and if she is luck enough to get a French Open wildcard (which I think that she shouldn't receive), she will definitely be a factor in Paris.
Next up for Bouchard is world number two Angelique Kerber, who before the tournament would be an almost-assured victory for Angelique. However, given the quality of play seen by Bouchard in this tournament thus far, there is no reason why Eugenie cannot win that match. Win or lose, however, Eugenie Bouchard has silenced her demons in Madrid.
In their previous match at the 2015 Australian Open, Sharapova had beaten Bouchard in straight sets, only losing five games in the entire match. With Bouchard struggling, many felt like this would be an easy match for Maria, a warmup before her battle with world number two Angelique Kerber in the next round. However, that was far from the case.
This match meant much more than what a random Second Round match would typically mean. For Sharapova, winning this match would mean that she would be a step closer to the main draw of Wimbledon, which would be crucial for her return to tennis following her meldonium use that forced her to spend 15 months on the sidelines. Getting in the main draw of a Grand Slam, in addition to the massive amounts of prize money, would make it much easier for Sharapova to catapult up the WTA rankings, where the number one spot is up for grab's due Serena Williams' pregnancy. However, with this loss, Sharapova will now look to Rome as an opportunity to move up the ranks of the WTA.
For Eugenie Bouchard, this match looked to be a crossroads for her career. Following a run to the Fourth Round of the Australian Open, coming within one set of the Quarterfinals before falling to CoCo Vandeweghe, Eugenie had massive struggles with her game. She lost in the First Round of Acapulco, Indian Wells, Miami, and Monterrey, before going to an ITF tournament in Indian Harbor Beach and only getting three games in a meek defeat to world number 484, Victoria Duval. And when Bouchard lost in the First Round of Istanbul too, it seemed more and more likely that her Wimbledon Final was nothing more than a massive fluke.
This match was complicated by Bouchard's chatter regarding Sharapova's drug use. Bouchard called Sharapova "a cheater" and also wanted her banned from tennis for life. This surely made proceedings personal between Eugenie and Maria, despite Maria saying that she was "way above that". This was condescending, in a way. Sharapova was essentially calling Bouchard immature, and definitely had a "holier than thou" attitude mixed into it. I'm sure that Bouchard's initial comments really irked Sharapova, and I'm also sure that Maria's condescending reply annoyed Eugenie as well.
This context provided the reasoning behind the electric intensity of the match. I watched much of the match, and one of the things that stuck out to me at the beginning was the ability of Bouchard to keep the point alive. While against some other players, Sharapova might have drawn more forced errors, Bouchard frequently refused to let the point die. Bouchard had a determined attitude, something that had been missing from her game until this match. This determined attitude started in her first match in the tournament against Cornet where, despite losing the second set, Bouchard won the third set in dominating fashion, 6-1.
When Sharapova broke first in the match to lead *4-2 in the first set, it would be easy for her to go away, knowing that the head-to-head (to this point) was a disaster, and that her year wasn't much better. However, Eugenie refused to go away. In a long seventh game of the match, Bouchard broke back and held from 0-30 down. Even after getting broken serving for the set at *5-4, Bouchard just wouldn't back down. At 5-5, despite not breaking on her first three chances in the game, Eugenie Bouchard broke through, winning Sharapova's service game and holding in the next game, despite facing a break point at 30-40.
In the second set, Sharapova imposed her will. Maria had to save a break point at 1-1 in the set, but didn't struggle much from there, taking the second set 6-2 to tie the match at one set all. This would have been the perfect time for Bouchard to look at her season, her past defeats to Sharapova, and perhaps, throw in the towel. After all, when Maria took the second set in Paris in the Semifinals of the French Open in 2014, she had little problems in the third set, taking it 6-2. Eugenie could have thought of that match, thought of history repeating itself in part, and put in a weak third set effort. But, in a stunning set, Bouchard rose above her competition.
The third set was a tussle of wills, a battle of who would outlast the other. Bouchard saved a break point at *0-1 to hold for 1-1, and then had 0-40 on the Sharapova serve, a crucial break nearly inevitable. However, utilizing huge serving and crushing play from the baseline, Maria held and then got up 0-40 on Bouchard's serve, one point away from a moment that would almost certainly crush her spirit. However, a combination of good serving from Bouchard and bad returning from Sharapova allowed her to escape the 0-40 hold, and eventually the game.
Eugenie then got to 0-40 on Sharapova's service game once again, but Maria's fighting spirit pushed her through to yet another hold. Once again, this was a crossroads for Bouchard. Having 0-40 in two games in a row, a combined eight break points lost in two Sharapova service games, it would be easy for Eugenie to have a let down, but she wouldn't quit. Despite going 15-30 down at 3-3 in the third set, Bouchard held on and then finally broke Maria when she got up 0-40 in yet another Sharapova service game to go up *4-3 in the third set, two holds from a huge victory.
But, Sharapova wouldn't go away, utilizing impressive power tennis, Sharapova pounded away at the Bouchard serve, never allowing Eugenie to get comfortable in the game, and breaking back for 4-all. It seemed to me, at this point, that Bouchard's will would finally be broken. She had done seemingly everything in her power to beat Maria, but it looked as if Sharapova had answered every one of Bouchard's questions. And when Sharapova went up 40-15 in her ensuing service game, it seemed as if a 6-4 third set to Maria was on it's way.
But, Bouchard had other plans. Eugenie ended up breaking Maria from 40-15 down, then saving two break points when serving for the match to win 7-5, 2-6, 6-4. This was, given the circumstances and Bouchard's year so far, definitely the biggest win of her year, and up there with the biggest wins of her career. To have such poor results before this match, to have so many headlines swirling around, to play such high-quality tennis was astounding.
Bouchard's defensive play was superb, and she was hitting her forehand the way I remembered her forehand looking in 2014, her breakout year on the WTA Tour. If Bouchard can continue to play, and compete, in a similar fashion to tonight, then there is no reason why she cannot make a deep run in both this tournament, and eventually, at Roland Garros. Sharapova has also shown that she will be a force on clay this year, and if she is luck enough to get a French Open wildcard (which I think that she shouldn't receive), she will definitely be a factor in Paris.
Next up for Bouchard is world number two Angelique Kerber, who before the tournament would be an almost-assured victory for Angelique. However, given the quality of play seen by Bouchard in this tournament thus far, there is no reason why Eugenie cannot win that match. Win or lose, however, Eugenie Bouchard has silenced her demons in Madrid.
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